By Alexander Whiteman
Intermodal traffic on North America’s railways lost out to cheaper trucking alternatives last year. More haulage capacity opened up, pushing full-year revenues at intermodal operators down across the board. Of the six major North American railroads, only Norfolk Southern (NS) and Canadian National (CN) reported volume growth. Warren Buffet-owned BNSF does not report its numbers.
Union Pacific (UP) experienced the biggest dent in its intermodal revenues, which tumbled 9 per cent year-on-year. At Canadian Pacific (CPR) and Kansas City Southern (KCS), the declines exceeded 5 per cent; while CN, CSX and NS declines were more muted, at around 1 per cent.
A UP spokesperson declined to provide any further explanation than that offered by Chief Marketing Officer Beth Whitehead at the company’s full-year results. She said total intermodal volumes would have been up 2 per cent instead of down 6 per cent were it not for the collapse of Hanjin.
CN saw volumes rose 2 per cent year-on-year against declining revenues, and Chief Marketing officer Jean-Jacques Ruest said international volumes had remained flat following Hanjin’s bankruptcy. “But we are well on our way to recovering the volumes with other shipping lines, especially with the DP World terminal expansion [in Prince Rupert] coming in July and the reshaping of the world’s shipping alliances,” he said.
While not openly admitting the impact of trucking on its results in 2016, Ms. Whitehead said UP expected to benefit from tightening truck capacity this year, a view echoed by her opposite number at NS, Alan Shaw, where a modest upturn in volumes did little to prevent declining revenues. “We expect intermodal volumes and revenue per unit in 2017 to benefit from tightening capacity within the trucking market, particularly, later in the year,” said Mr. Shaw.
Increasing revenue per unit did little to salvage CSX’s year, with both revenues and volumes down 1 per cent year-on-year in stark contrast to average annual growth of 7 per cent over the last decade. A spokesperson told The Loadstar that a cycle of international account loss had been partly responsible. Available truck capacity, combined with specific short-haul losses, led the domestic volume declines in the fourth quarter.
KCS chief marketing officer Brian Hancock said the Mexico-US cross-border operator had seen a similar trend. “Our intermodal business continued to see significant competition from inexpensive trucking and industry consolidation among major ocean shipping lines.”
According to DAT, which supplies trucking volumes and rates data, volumes carried by road hauliers in the US increased for the sixth straight month in December, up 8 per cent on November and almost back to a June-high. Rates also edged up 1 per cent compared with December 2015.
Data from the American Trucking Association depicted a year of yo-yo fortunes for road hauliers – although it was a year in which volumes closed 2.5 per cent up compared with 2015, despite a depressed end-of-year performance with December volumes marginally down 0.7 per cent on 2015.
ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said: “I don’t recall a year with so many large swings on a month-to-month basis [month-on-month, November volumes increased 8.2 per cent, while December volumes declined 6.2 per cent]. “Looking ahead, there are some positive signs for truck tonnage, including the continued spending by consumers, larger wage gains and solid home construction,” he added.
CP President and Chief Commercial Officer Keith Creel said the company would be further focusing its efforts on taking back the trucking sector’s share of the intermodal market. “I am talking about competing with truck share and taking trucks off the road and putting them on the rail,” said Mr. Creel.
Similarly, CSX expects a strong demand for its intermodal product long-term, and will focus on its highway-to-rail conversion scheme this year, which aims to tempt shippers away from trucks to rail. “The addressable market for highway-to-rail conversions remains about 9 million truckloads in the eastern US,” the spokesperson told The Loadstar. “Longer term, we expect domestic intermodal growth in the 5-10 per cent range, and on the international side, we are experiencing growth with several customers.”
Reprinted courtesy of The Loadstar (www.theloadstar.co.uk)